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Trump Maintains Ohio Lead Against Clinton, Latest Poll Says


Likely voters in the critical swing states of Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Pennsylvania say by margins of more than 2-1 that Democrat Hillary Clinton bested Republican Donald Trump in the first presidential debate, but except for Florida, that debate win did little to get her more votes, according to a Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released Monday. 

In Ohio, where Trump had 41 percent to Clinton's 37 percent last month, he now leads 47 - 42 percent. 

Four-way races which list both presidential and vice-presidential candidates show that in Ohio: Trump tops Clinton 47 - 42 percent, with 6 percent for Johnson and 1 percent for Stein;

"Although Hillary Clinton clearly won the first debate with Donald Trump, this victory did her only little good in her race for the White House," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. 

"Likely voters in Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Pennsylvania, the four largest and most important Swing States seem little closer to an Election Day decision," Brown added. 

"The good news for Secretary Clinton is that she has opened a five-point lead in Florida, in what had been a dead heat in Quinnipiac University's September 8 poll. But Donald Trump holds his lead in Ohio and stays close in North Carolina while she retains her small margin in Pennsylvania." 

Head-to-head matchups among likely voters show:


Ohio likely voters say 50 - 24 percent, including 21 percent among Republicans, that Clinton won the presidential debate. Clinton bested Trump, Democrats say 86 - 4 percent and independent voters say 42 - 27 percent. Republicans say 45 - 21 percent that Trump won. 

But Trump's 58 - 31 percent general election lead among men outweighs Clinton's 51 - 39 percent lead among women. Another factor is Trump's 52 - 33 percent lead among independent voters, who give 8 percent to Johnson. Republicans also back Trump 89 - 4 percent, while Democrats back Clinton 88 - 7 percent. 

"In some states, figuring why one candidate is doing better than the other takes some head scratching, but not in Ohio. Trump's 19-point lead among independent voters tells us almost all we need to know. Secretary Clinton must close that gap to come back in the Buckeye State," Brown said.